Wild Finish For 2017 Notre Dame Recruiting

With two weeks to go until signing day, 2017 Notre Dame recruiting was in a dark place indeed, with only 15 commits in the class. Some knee-buckling late defections, the natural uncertainty around five new assistant coaches, and the negative vibes from a disastrous 4-8 season had most of the Irish fan base in a very dark place indeed. Those final two weeks kicked off rather inauspiciously with a rumored Irish lean discovered to actually be a silent Oklahoma commit, and another rumored Irish lean reporting that he didn’t connect with the players on his official visit. At that point we were circling the drain – or so it was assumed…

Fast forward to signing day, and, well… All I can say is that everyone on the Notre Dame coaching staff most definitively deserves coffee today. The story of the 2017 cycle changed dramatically over the final week, as the Irish picked up six quality commits to get to 21 overall and push the 247 Composite class ranking to 11th. Yes, there are of course some concerns – we’ll get to those – but we need to acknowledge the fact that the new staff busted their proverbial tails on the recruiting trail and did a phenomenal job to close out the class in style.

If you have a few minutes, I highly recommend you at least scan the transcript of Brian Kelly’s signing day press conference. Particularly notable was the amount of praise he heaped on the core 15 commits who stuck with the Irish throughout the cycle, starting with this quote just a minute or so into the proceedings:

We couldn’t be where we are today unless we had 15 student-athletes that were committed to Notre Dame from the start to the finish. Really during a very difficult season, this group of 15 really had to endure the things that would occur out there in recruiting during a very difficult season. Other schools reminding them about a very difficult season that we had. Then there was them sticking together because of why they wanted to come to Notre Dame.

I think this class, I guess is what I’m saying, is about the 15 that really stuck together, giving myself an opportunity to reconstitute our staff, put our staff together, get back out on the road after the dead period, and finish it out really strong.

You can also check out the official Notre Dame signing day coverage at UND.com – they have bios and videos of all the players, interviews with the coaches, etc.

Class Rankings by Service

247: 13th (10 four-stars, 10 three-stars, 1 two-star)

Rivals: 13th (8 four-stars, 12 three-stars, 1 two-star)

Scout: 13th (11 four-stars, 10 three-stars)

ESPN: 16th (10 four-stars, 11 three-stars)

247 Composite: 11th (10 four-stars, 10 three-stars, 1 two-star)

If you’re wondering how we have the 11th class by Composite when we don’t rank that highly on any of the individual services, note that the Composite team ranking is not a straight arithmetic mean of the other services – it’s the result of an algorithm based on what the individual players’ Composite scores are, with higher weighting given to higher-level players.

Class Composition

Here are the number of signees by position.

QB – 1
RB – 1
WR – 2
TE – 2
OL – 4
SDE – 2
WDE – 1
DT – 2
LB – 2
CB – 0
S – 3
K/P – 1

The number that really jumps out, of course, is the zero at cornerback – the late defections of Thomas Graham, Paulson Adebo, and Elijah Hicks really left the staff in a bind, especially since they all occurred during the dead period. Fortunately, we took a lot of defensive backs in the 2016 cycle and it turned out that all of them could play. As it stands right now, Notre Dame has five corners with quality game experience who have multiple years of eligibility left in Shaun Crawford, Nick Watkins, Donte Vaughn, Julian Love, and Troy Pride. They have two other guys in Ashton White and Nick Coleman who have experience at corner and will get a look at safety in the spring, per Todd Lyght’s comments yesterday. Taking a zero in this class is not ideal, certainly, and it puts more pressure on the staff to get both quality and quantity in the 2018 cycle, but it’s not the end of the world.

The other number that sticks out is weakside defensive end, where the Irish landed just one developmental prospect. That position continues to be the bane of Notre Dame recruiting for some reason; even more so than corner, I think the staff has to really hit a couple of home runs here in 2018. They also have to hope that Daelin Hayes is as good as advertised to give them a bit of a cushion for the 2018 season.

Otherwise, I really like the breakdown here; I think there’s very good balance in this class, especially when combined with last year’s class.

The Super Official 18 Stripes Class Grades

As a reminder, here’s our standard grading scale for this exercise:

95-100: Truly elite prospect with All-American potential
90-94: Multi-year starter with All-conference level potential
85-89: Eventual starter with chance to play as underclassman
80-84: Raw prospect with decent potential but a couple years away from impact
75-79: Likely a backup
70-74: Reach by the coaching staff

Staff Offense Grade Defense Grade Overall Grade
Brendan 88.9 87.1 88.0
Eric 87.7 84.8 86.3
Jaden 88.3 86.5 87.4
Tyler 88.9 85.9 87.5
Overall 88.5 86.1 87.3

Offense Signees

247C Score 18S Grade Player City/State Ht/Wt Pos Stars
.9665 95 Brock Wright Cypress, TX 6-4.5/243 TE * * * * *
.9600 89 Robert Hainsey Bradenton, FL 6-4.5/276 OG * * * * *
.9589 92 Cole Kmet  Arlington Heights, IL 6-5/230 TE * * * * *
.9417 94 Josh Lugg Wexford, PA 6-7/293 OT * * * * *
.9251 88 Aaron Banks El Cerrito, CA 6-7/315 OT * * * * *
.9053 85 Avery Davis Cedar Hill, TX 5-11/192 QB * * * * *
.9036 89 CJ Holmes Cheshire, CT 6-0/200 RB * * * * *
.8847 80 Dillan Gibbons Clearwater, FL 6-4/311 OG * * * * *
.8709 87 Jafar Armstrong Mission, KS 6-1/205 WR * * * * *
.8706 86 Michael Young Destrehan, LA 5-11/175 WR * * * * *
.7902 89 Jonathan Doerer Charlotte, NC 6-3/188 K * * * * *

Defense Signees

247C Score 18S Grade Player City/State Ht/Wt Pos Stars
.9328  90  Darnell Ewell  Norfolk, VA 6-2/295 DT * * * * *
.9089 85 David Adams Pittsburgh, PA 6-1/224 ILB * * * * *
 .8986 89 Isaiah Robertson Naperville, IL  6-3/190 S * * * * *
 .8721 88  Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah  Hampton, VA 6-2/197 S * * * * *
 .8708 88 Myron Tagovailoa-Amosa  Kapolei, HI 6-4/270 SDE * * * * *
 .8671 87 Kurt Hinish Pittsburgh, PA  6-2/283 DT * * * * *
 .8649 84 Jordan Genmark Heath San Diego, CA 6-2/205 S * * * * *
.8459 81 Jonathan MacCollister  Orlando, FL 6-4/238 SDE * * * * *
 .8452 89 Drew White Fort Lauderdale, FL 6-1/225 ILB * * * * *
.8427 81 Kofi Wardlow Washington, DC 6-3.5/230 WDE * * * * *

Grading Out

Addressing Needs: B-

Two corners and an additional weakside defensive end, preferably game-ready, would’ve made this an A. We needed offensive tackles, and we got two very good ones in Lugg and Banks. We needed interior defensive linemen, and we got three good ones in Ewell, Hinish, and (probably) Tagovailoa-Amosa. We needed safeties, and we got three plus guys in Robertson, Owusu-Koramoah, and Genmark Heath. We even managed to get one of the top kickers in the country in Jon Doerer to hedge against any health concerns for Justin Yoon next year.

Home Run Factor: B+

Wright, Lugg, and perhaps Kmet as well have All-American potential. Lugg might well have the highest ceiling of any offensive lineman in this cycle, in fact, and Wright already has Deion Sanders believing he’ll play on Sundays in a few years. It’ll be a lot of fun to watch those guys develop. I see some high-ceiling guys on defense but things are a bit cloudier there, which keeps this grade down a bit.

Immediate Impact: B

Wright will play next year for sure. Maybe CJ Holmes as well. On defense, Ewell could work his way into the rotation, as could MTA. Robertson will almost certainly work his way into the two-deep at safety. In all likelihood Doerer will be the kickoff specialist from Day 1, and possibly more than that if Yoon’s knee is more of an issue than expected. I don’t see anyone in this group playing a big role right away, or being asked to for that matter, but then again that’s not the worst thing in the world either.

Class Comments

One more time – how did we end up with no corners?

Well, as noted above, the defections of Graham, Adebo, and Hicks within a couple of weeks of each other really threw a wrench into things. Notre Dame tried hard to add a corner down the stretch, most notably in their attempts to land Oklahoma signee Tre Norwood and flip Lousiville commit Russ Yeast. I think if the staff had to do it again, they would’ve been more aggressive with their Plan B options as soon as Graham decommitted. Lyght said today that this recruiting cycle taught him he had to avoid getting too attached to kids, which was an interesting comment. Perhaps his approach going forward will be more contingency and less handshake.

How did the flip battle end up?

In this cycle, we lost Robert Beal, Pete Werner, Donovan Jeter, Paulson Adebo, Elijah Hicks, Thomas Graham and Jordan Pouncey.  Donovan Jeter was never coming, so he doesn’t really count, but everything else was a gut punch of one sort or another. I think every Notre Dame fan knew it would be tough to keep Beal, but even so, he’s a difference maker at a position we rarely recruit well. It was a very tough loss. Werner was a tough one too, and probably the one decommit that had any connection to the way the season went. Pete Werner bailed for Ohio State largely because Meyer suddenly pushed hard for him and got in his head about staff stability at Notre Dame (which is a fair point). Paulson Adebo wasn’t recruited at all by Stanford, reportedly was annoyed by that, and still jumped to them as soon as they offered in January. Elijah Hicks actually graduated early without telling the staff, then headed to Cal to enroll early. Until it leaked out and forced his hand, I honestly think he was just going to show up for classes at Cal and not tell anybody anything.

We did our share of taking too, though – in the last couple of weeks we flipped Owusu (Virginia), Armstrong (Mizzou), Genmark Heath (Cal), Wardlow (Maryland) and Doerer (Maryland). We lost more than we gained, but still, we pulled in some really solid prospects and ended up just -2 in the flip battle this year. Not too shabby.

Until the final week, the Irish just could not buy a break this cycle.

Josh Paschal desperately wanted an offer but wasn’t ready academically, so the staff helped him get there – and then he committed to Kentucky. Osiris St. Brown said that how Equanimeous was used would be important to his decision-making process, Quan blew up in the first half of the season, Osiris committed to Stanford. Early in the cycle Notre Dame was considered the heavy favorite to land top 100 defensive tackle Haskell Garrett out of Bishop Gorman, but he committed to Ohio State without even visiting. Top 50 running back JK Dobbins did the same just days after talking about a potential summer visit to Notre Dame. Another top 100 defensive tackle, Greg Rogers, made no secret of how much he wanted a Notre Dame offer and how much respect he had for Gilmore. He got the offer in April, and eliminated the Irish shortly afterwards. You can’t make this stuff up.

What’s particularly infuriating is that we lost the “dream offer” battle in both directions. Russ Yeast, Mac Hippenhammer, and Deon Jackson all desperately wanted a Notre Dame offer, but when they finally got it they felt bound by a sense of duty and reaffirmed their commitments to other programs. Adebo, on the other hand, was recruited heavily by Notre Dame even after he committed and was literally ignored by Stanford until the Under Armour event, but jumped as soon as they offered. Michigan completely stopped recruiting Oliver Martin over the summer to chase higher-rated prospects; they turned up the pressure again, and Martin ate it up. He chose Michigan despite not really talking to the staff in almost eight months, with Harbaugh’s cringe-worthy, fully-clothed pool jump serving as the perfect coda of absurdity.

There was some really bad luck, some missteps by the staff, and some just plain weirdness in there. It’s no wonder that in mid-January the mood was so dark for Irish fans.

Let’s talk about happier stuff. What are the early thoughts about the new staff members’ recruiting ability?

We’ve joked about this behind the scenes here, but in all seriousness, Mike Elko really did do more recruiting in a month than his predecessor did in two and a half years. Clark Lea is a ball of energy who oozes likability, and incidentally was one of Wake Forest’s best recruiters. Del Alexander has tons of connections on the West Coast as an LA native and former USC coach and player, and has a reputation as a plus recruiter. Likewise, Chip Long has lots of Southern connections – he’s from Birmingham and was a star receiver/tight end at Division II North Alabama – and has a reputation as a plus recruiter. Also, while there are certainly older coaches out there who are grinders on the trail, I think the fact that the staff got considerably younger this year will infuse some energy into our recruiting efforts. Elko is almost 20 years younger than VanGorder, Lea is almost 25 years younger than Gilmore, even Alexander is eight years younger than Denbrock. Polian is considerably older than Booker, but he’s also a boss on the trail, so no worries there.

I’ll offer this as a final thought on the staff’s recruiting effort going forward: between the day before and the day of signing day the staff tossed out five new 2018 offers, and on signing day multiple coaches (including Kelly himself) made calls to key 2018 targets. Our first junior day is nine days away. Don’t expect that pace to slow down anytime soon.

Hampton Roads, take me home, to the place, I belong… Notre Daaa-ame! Hampton Roads, take me home, Hampton Roads.

Prior to this class, Notre Dame has had only six players ever from the Hampton Roads region of Virginia. Darnell Ewell and Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah will increase that total by 33% in one fell swoop. Craziness. The region has turned out elite prospects at an increasing rate, so it’s good to see the Irish get back in there and, perhaps, establish a foothold for the coming years.

Wrapping Up

All in all, I think you have to be fairly pleased with landing the #11 class in this cycle; even I, who am a died-in-the-wool optimist, didn’t envision us ending up higher than 14th. I just can’t say it enough, the staff did a fantastic job keeping things organized and closing on some key guys in the home stretch. I’m very interested to see what they can do with the full 2018 cycle.

We’ll leave you with a quick poll from the contributors to this post – a sort of mini-superlatives discussion.

Who will see the field the soonest?

  • Brendan: Brock Wright
  • Eric: Darnell Ewell
  • Jaden: Darnell Ewell
  • Tyler: Brock Wright

Who has the highest upside?

  • Brendan: Josh Lugg
  • Eric: Isaiah Robertson
  • Jaden: Josh Lugg
  • Tyler: Josh Lugg

Who’s your favorite offensive player?

  • Brendan: CJ Holmes
  • Eric: Brock Wright
  • Jaden: Cole Kmet
  • Tyler: Brock Wright

Who’s your favorite defensive player?

  • Brendan: Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah
  • Eric: Darnell Ewell
  • Jaden: Isaiah Robertson
  • Tyler: Isaiah Robertson

And with that, mercifully, we can finally close the book on the 2016 season and move forward. Go Irish!