About Brendan R

People who know me best say that I'm sociable, have a dry sense of humor, a predilection for useless trivia, and can obsess about meaningless details. I'm happily married to a woman who thankfully still hasn't figured out that I married up, and we have three great kids, all boys who are trying to destroy our house in stages. They're quite efficient at it, too. In what time I have left over after the various cleanup efforts, I'm a sports nut, a science geek, an unabashed Shakespeare lover, and an aspiring 50-state marathoner.

2019 Playoff Big Board: Conference Championship Week

See? I told you Alabama wasn’t going to be in the playoff... The board cleared up considerably this week, and with only a handful of true contenders left we can now get a lot more serious about projecting playoff scenarios. Without the Tide. Heh. The "538 conference championship win probability" is taken from the nifty [...]

By |2019-12-03T20:49:05-05:00December 3rd, 2019|Football|4 Comments

Week 12 Win Probability Matrix Update

Well... That was fun. Remember that all advanced stats models include adjustments for garbage time, which is defined differently in each model but basically means being up by enough that both teams will change the way they're playing; by any definition, Notre Dame reached garbage time before the half against Navy. What the Irish did [...]

By |2019-11-18T11:03:25-05:00November 18th, 2019|Football|13 Comments

Week 11 Win Probability Matrix Update

Credit to the Irish for rebounding with a huge win over a mid-level opponent - the mistakes that plagued them against Virginia Tech were largely eliminated against Duke, and accordingly the Duke game went the way the Virginia Tech game should've. That was the first truly stress-free performance for Notre Dame in five weeks, and [...]

By |2019-11-11T11:23:48-05:00November 11th, 2019|Football|5 Comments

Playoff Big Board: Week 11

This is the first week for the official College Football Playoff committee rankings. Hey, SMU and Appalachian State have been cruising - let's discuss the probability that a Group of 5 team will finally make it into the playoff! The final two G5 undefeateds fell this weekend, so that was fun while it lasted. Possible [...]

By |2019-11-06T17:05:18-05:00November 6th, 2019|Football|3 Comments

Grad Transfer Isaiah Pryor Commits to Notre Dame

In a huge development for the 2020 depth chart, former Notre Dame target and current Ohio State Buckeye Isaiah Pryor announced his intent to transfer to Notre Dame after this season. The Irish pursued Pryor heavily in high school, first at Georgia's Pace Academy and later at IMG, but lost out to the bright lights [...]

By |2019-11-04T12:46:01-05:00November 4th, 2019|Recruiting|11 Comments

Playoff Big Board: Week 10

Rough week, but there were in fact other games that happened and, if you're a fan of college football, other things worth tracking going forward. Our board will consist of all ranked undefeated teams and all ranked one-loss Power 5 teams - first from the AP poll, then from the committee rankings when they're available [...]

By |2019-10-28T11:05:41-04:00October 29th, 2019|Football|3 Comments

Michigan Preview: Hunting Big, Smelly Weasels

From Wikipedia: The wolverine, Gulo gulo (gulo is Latin for "glutton") is the largest land-dwelling species of the family Mustelidae [the weasel family]... Like many other mustelids, it has potent anal scent glands used for marking territory and sexual signaling. The pungent odor has given rise to the nicknames "skunk bear" and "nasty cat”... Wolverines [...]

By |2019-10-24T12:19:40-04:00October 25th, 2019|Football|47 Comments